MMAB Sea Ice Forecast Page
This page contains links to sea ice model forecasts. The publicly available
model guidance is for the drift of points in the ice pack. An experiment
with longer range ice guidance, begun in June 1998 at the request of NWS
Alaska Region resulted in the approval in January 2001 of extending the
operational guidance to day 16, from the then-limit of 6 days.
Model graphics now at
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model Guidance&model=polar&area=polar&cycle=20160523 00 UTC¶m=ice_drift&fourpan=no&imageSize=&ps=area, a system with 24x7 support.
The numeric quantity given is tenths of nautical miles, such that a value of 22 means 2.2 nautical miles drift.
e-mail additions, corrections, errors to Robert.Grumbine@noaa.gov
This page is now historical reference only. Support for sea ice drift was abandoned late 2019.
Last modified 4 June 2020.
NWS Anchorage WSFO Ice Forecast page
NCEP Operational Ice Drift Forecast Model
Guidance maps for Alaska Region
Guidance maps for Alaska Region (~ 30 K each)
Operational KML output
Publications and statistics on this model:
- Model verification statistics
- Grumbine, R. W., Virtual Floe Ice Drift Forecast Model Intercomparison,
Weather and Forecasting, 13, 886-890, 1998.
- MMAB Note: Virtual Floe Ice Drift Forecast Model Intercomparison 1996
Return to NCEP Sea Ice Home Page
Return to NCEP Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch Home