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Ice drift verification for 2007

Statistics for all months of 2007 by forecast lead

Number of observations Forecast lead Scalar correlation Vector correlation b1 RMS Direction Mean Error Radius
367 1 0.337 0.412 0.551 78.5 4.0
358 2 0.423 0.577 0.686 73.8 6.8
361 3 0.488 0.656 0.830 68.3 9.2
365 4 0.496 0.625 0.914 66.7 11.5
363 5 0.529 0.696 0.859 66.6 12.8
361 6 0.524 0.594 0.851 67.5 13.6
361 7 0.544 0.583 0.869 70.2 14.5
358 8 0.559 0.592 0.922 70.5 15.7
358 9 0.575 0.636 1.015 73.0 16.9
359 10 0.613 0.657 1.100 74.7 18.6
358 11 0.631 0.688 1.142 75.5 19.5
357 12 0.639 0.667 1.161 77.5 20.2
359 13 0.632 0.652 1.146 80.0 21.0
363 14 0.629 0.649 1.154 81.4 22.5
361 15 0.613 0.616 1.137 82.7 24.9
320 16 0.627 0.606 1.149 84.5 25.8

Forecasts at all lead times, scored by month for year 2007

Number of observations Month Scalar correlation Vector correlation b1 RMS Direction Mean Error Radius
298 1 0.913 1.283 2.166 42.6 50.0
659 2 0.322 0.263 0.296 87.3 10.2
2106 3 0.356 0.247 0.585 74.9 14.6
2678 4 0.687 0.484 0.845 73.5 14.8
-1 5 NA NA NA NA NA
-1 6 NA NA NA NA NA
-1 7 NA NA NA NA NA
-1 8 NA NA NA NA NA
-1 9 NA NA NA NA NA
-1 10 NA NA NA NA NA
-1 11 NA NA NA NA NA
-1 12 NA NA NA NA NA

Forecast verification by forecast point

Point Lead Observations Scalar correlation Vector correlation b1 RMS Direction Mean Error Radius
66 1 41 0.381 0.837 0.534 70.7 3.9
66 2 41 0.427 1.036 0.579 62.9 7.5
66 3 41 0.520 1.214 0.715 68.5 11.7
66 4 40 0.585 1.396 0.793 46.6 14.0
66 5 41 0.654 1.395 0.901 50.1 14.9
66 6 40 0.712 1.328 0.909 38.6 17.0
66 7 40 0.742 1.292 0.930 34.2 19.1
66 8 41 0.697 1.155 0.942 28.1 22.7
66 9 41 0.721 1.096 1.002 27.4 25.3
66 10 41 0.745 0.996 1.076 27.9 28.6
66 11 41 0.736 0.810 1.110 32.1 32.0
66 12 41 0.718 0.734 1.150 34.2 34.7
66 13 41 0.672 0.648 1.113 36.4 36.8
66 14 41 0.594 0.527 0.997 40.9 40.7
66 15 41 0.544 0.432 0.935 43.5 44.2
66 16 41 0.485 0.377 0.816 44.7 47.8
67 1 212 0.374 0.642 0.500 76.0 3.3
67 2 211 0.473 0.959 0.518 70.2 5.4
67 3 212 0.567 1.093 0.568 62.7 7.1
67 4 216 0.445 0.827 0.600 63.2 9.1
67 5 214 0.646 1.207 0.509 62.4 9.7
67 6 214 0.493 0.966 0.503 64.1 10.5
67 7 217 0.498 0.989 0.490 66.5 10.6
67 8 215 0.549 0.976 0.524 67.9 10.1
67 9 215 0.513 0.928 0.494 71.5 10.1
67 10 215 0.508 0.915 0.490 75.2 11.5
67 11 214 0.490 0.892 0.465 77.5 11.9
67 12 213 0.513 0.833 0.488 81.2 11.9
67 13 214 0.495 0.748 0.488 85.8 12.3
67 14 217 0.470 0.652 0.488 87.9 14.3
67 15 213 0.460 0.597 0.511 88.6 16.5
67 16 186 0.441 0.553 0.516 89.8 15.9
70 1 10 -0.072 0.274 -0.113 74.8 8.7
70 2 6 0.701 0.910 1.519 14.9 10.3
70 3 7 0.805 1.336 1.764 16.2 11.8
70 4 7 0.900 1.182 1.817 10.4 10.0
70 5 7 0.869 1.026 1.294 9.0 7.2
70 6 7 0.583 0.449 0.505 8.5 9.2
70 7 7 0.124 0.478 0.083 7.0 15.1
70 8 7 0.041 0.375 0.029 10.9 15.5
70 9 8 0.404 0.667 0.514 34.0 11.8
70 10 9 0.465 1.143 0.582 38.5 12.2
70 11 10 0.543 1.264 0.621 33.0 13.1
70 12 10 0.424 1.162 0.389 30.1 14.9
70 13 11 0.296 1.134 0.264 33.8 17.9
70 14 12 0.280 1.043 0.242 42.1 18.3
70 15 13 0.276 1.013 0.245 55.3 19.4
70 16 14 0.094 0.867 0.075 60.0 20.9
84 1 14 0.124 0.786 0.274 75.0 3.5
84 2 13 0.505 1.059 1.128 64.9 6.3
84 3 12 0.834 1.519 1.302 49.7 4.4
84 4 12 0.875 1.700 1.342 45.4 4.4
84 5 14 0.603 1.035 0.915 52.7 5.8
84 6 14 0.220 0.817 0.306 53.8 8.3
84 7 14 0.258 0.840 0.383 55.4 10.4
84 8 14 0.076 0.808 0.118 56.6 18.8
84 9 14 0.138 0.815 0.253 67.7 20.9
84 10 14 0.242 0.899 0.454 72.6 21.6
84 11 14 0.342 1.059 0.577 73.9 21.6
84 12 14 0.282 0.959 0.410 79.0 23.7
84 13 14 0.224 0.931 0.285 79.5 24.0
84 14 14 0.110 1.238 0.126 70.8 19.5
84 15 14 0.020 0.950 0.019 77.5 19.0
84 16 11 0.568 0.941 0.250 67.3 28.1
85 1 26 0.334 0.339 0.422 57.6 3.7
85 2 25 0.604 0.732 1.012 42.9 5.1
85 3 26 0.636 0.742 1.184 40.2 8.6
85 4 27 0.747 0.812 1.481 43.2 10.6
85 5 24 0.540 0.717 0.984 41.6 13.0
85 6 24 0.607 0.715 1.004 47.8 12.4
85 7 23 0.661 0.849 1.059 49.4 12.0
85 8 23 0.729 1.012 1.099 48.8 12.0
85 9 23 0.776 1.150 1.054 50.0 11.3
85 10 23 0.683 1.351 0.794 51.5 13.4
85 11 23 0.675 1.411 0.831 48.8 13.5
85 12 23 0.629 1.314 0.847 54.2 15.1
85 13 23 0.483 1.054 0.631 56.4 18.9
85 14 22 0.394 0.687 0.482 57.8 21.7
85 15 21 0.240 0.477 0.255 56.0 24.9
85 16 21 0.166 0.372 0.159 53.6 26.2
100 1 26 -0.242 0.393 -0.487 80.3 4.4
100 2 23 -0.138 0.582 -0.260 82.7 7.7
100 3 24 0.039 0.823 0.082 65.2 8.5
100 4 24 -0.122 0.879 -0.264 61.1 10.1
100 5 24 -0.019 0.811 -0.033 61.8 10.7
100 6 23 0.338 0.978 0.552 62.1 9.5
100 7 21 0.717 1.104 1.290 79.6 9.3
100 8 20 0.619 0.946 1.121 73.9 11.9
100 9 21 0.327 0.507 0.614 74.8 13.1
100 10 21 0.108 0.422 0.162 69.7 16.2
100 11 20 0.069 0.474 0.092 62.4 17.0
100 12 20 0.206 0.554 0.248 52.8 14.4
100 13 20 0.237 0.582 0.299 45.3 14.4
100 14 21 0.337 0.413 0.358 49.8 12.1
100 15 23 0.435 0.346 0.456 53.0 10.5
100 16 13 0.123 0.683 0.077 55.2 10.9
102 1 23 0.744 0.579 0.681 127.3 2.4
102 2 24 0.743 0.675 0.626 134.1 3.9
102 3 24 0.744 0.830 0.625 134.0 5.6
102 4 24 0.687 0.977 0.675 138.5 9.3
102 5 24 0.632 1.199 0.700 141.9 12.7
102 6 24 0.423 1.338 0.593 143.7 14.8
102 7 24 0.221 1.432 0.350 146.4 18.6
102 8 23 0.091 1.486 0.131 150.2 20.9
102 9 21 -0.391 1.177 -0.608 155.3 26.0
102 10 21 0.263 0.906 0.388 151.6 25.5
102 11 21 0.283 0.966 0.457 151.0 26.5
102 12 21 0.075 0.605 0.119 147.7 30.9
102 13 21 -0.045 0.926 -0.072 144.4 28.8
102 14 21 -0.160 0.768 -0.296 143.0 25.7
102 15 21 -0.289 0.426 -0.252 146.2 30.5
102 16 21 -0.499 0.288 -0.306 151.4 31.8


Return to main drift statistics page
Last Modified 10 March 2014
Robert Grumbine Ice drift verification for 2007

Statistics for all months of 2007 by forecast lead

Number of observations Forecast lead Scalar correlation Vector correlation b1 RMS Direction Mean Error Radius
Count fday r VCC B1 rms d,
1376 1 0.279 0.476 0.548 75.8 4.5
1347 2 0.334 0.589 0.668 72.7 8.8
1372 3 0.397 0.659 0.781 72.7 12.3
1398 4 0.400 0.669 0.793 73.5 15.6
1364 5 0.400 0.657 0.795 73.2 18.3
1369 6 0.399 0.617 0.789 76.0 20.4
1380 7 0.418 0.604 0.814 77.6 22.3
1379 8 0.402 0.563 0.783 79.3 24.5
1381 9 0.406 0.540 0.803 79.1 26.6
1376 10 0.416 0.556 0.810 79.1 28.6
1375 11 0.411 0.543 0.806 79.9 30.6
1374 12 0.390 0.497 0.747 80.7 32.2
1372 13 0.378 0.473 0.737 81.4 34.0
1367 14 0.363 0.429 0.705 82.6 35.3
1362 15 0.342 0.457 0.648 83.4 37.1
1359 16 0.341 0.456 0.633 84.0 39.0

Forecasts at all lead times, scored by month for year 2007

Number of observations Month Scalar correlation Vector correlation b1 RMS Direction Mean Error Radius
286 1 0.939 1.333 2.013 38.7 48.9
669 2 0.415 0.375 0.372 81.6 8.9
2107 3 0.346 0.250 0.574 73.4 14.7
2678 4 0.687 0.484 0.845 73.5 14.8
503 5 0.221 0.374 0.209 94.4 11.0
3116 6 0.586 0.358 0.449 68.8 20.4
1174 7 0.642 1.127 0.881 73.5 18.8
1878 8 0.680 0.560 1.570 77.4 34.8
3340 9 0.357 0.444 0.809 75.0 37.0
2269 10 0.658 0.607 1.287 89.3 29.1
2706 11 0.597 0.598 0.979 92.5 23.8
1229 12 0.652 0.377 1.969 75.5 27.3

Forecast verification by forecast point

Point Lead Observations Scalar correlation Vector correlation b1 RMS Direction Mean Error Radius
42 1 8 0.614 0.669 0.625 80.8 3.6
42 2 5 -0.089 0.664 -0.066 65.0 6.0
42 3 5 -0.923 1.601 -0.843 64.9 10.7
42 4 5 -0.956 1.674 -1.605 59.5 15.0
42 5 4 -0.675 1.031 -1.091 26.7 17.2
42 6 4 -0.880 1.522 -0.941 28.0 22.3
48 1 37 0.605 0.704 0.635 90.1 2.0
48 2 37 0.448 0.668 0.398 88.3 4.6
48 3 45 0.284 0.701 0.204 101.6 7.9
48 4 50 0.104 0.658 0.067 110.0 10.4
48 5 47 0.367 0.713 0.299 114.3 9.8
48 6 51 0.029 0.629 0.019 120.9 13.4
48 7 55 -0.247 0.686 -0.136 122.9 17.9
48 8 59 -0.421 0.630 -0.183 124.8 24.0
48 9 56 -0.385 0.591 -0.171 127.1 24.8
48 10 51 -0.365 0.497 -0.147 123.2 22.6
48 11 50 -0.405 0.426 -0.143 124.1 24.2
48 12 51 -0.432 0.371 -0.151 126.2 25.0
48 13 52 -0.461 0.360 -0.138 125.9 28.4
48 14 51 -0.515 0.341 -0.143 128.8 30.9
48 15 53 -0.481 0.322 -0.127 132.0 32.8
48 16 55 -0.430 0.309 -0.111 134.0 34.0
50 5 5 -0.529 0.405 -1.527 21.7 213.8
50 6 5 0.065 0.311 0.097 38.8 199.7
50 7 5 0.700 0.883 2.001 84.7 231.4
50 8 5 0.344 1.178 1.321 48.7 204.9
50 9 5 0.065 1.190 0.182 63.8 169.2
50 10 5 -0.174 1.346 -0.411 70.9 157.8
50 11 5 -0.445 1.496 -0.907 73.4 180.1
50 12 5 -0.715 1.485 -2.765 78.4 212.9
50 13 5 -0.728 1.613 -4.279 83.4 213.9
50 14 5 -0.737 1.237 -4.075 82.6 210.6
50 15 5 -0.382 1.018 -1.778 81.6 217.2
50 16 5 -0.321 1.053 -1.793 74.6 283.0
59 1 4 0.075 1.327 0.191 10.1 22.3
59 2 4 0.401 1.633 1.344 13.7 44.5
59 3 4 0.709 1.923 4.197 22.5 63.6
59 4 4 0.895 1.144 2.125 23.2 85.8
59 5 4 -0.081 1.000 -0.539 24.1 102.6
59 6 4 -0.469 1.094 -8.276 38.0 99.2
59 7 4 0.672 1.000 4.568 56.0 78.1
59 8 4 0.692 1.072 4.240 74.7 83.1
59 9 4 0.367 1.036 1.912 84.0 107.5
59 10 4 -0.279 1.445 -0.814 87.3 122.4
59 11 4 -0.350 1.271 -0.752 83.6 106.8
59 12 4 0.177 1.001 0.781 95.5 88.5
59 13 4 0.828 1.001 18.936 91.3 80.9
59 14 4 -0.928 1.110 -10.631 86.2 77.0
59 15 4 -0.986 1.024 -9.705 88.3 113.4
59 16 4 -0.971 1.161 -3.769 97.6 135.4
66 1 63 0.242 0.529 0.341 73.6 3.9
66 2 64 0.273 0.633 0.373 67.3 7.8
66 3 64 0.319 0.775 0.418 67.9 11.5
66 4 63 0.352 0.900 0.442 50.5 14.5
66 5 64 0.387 0.936 0.491 51.0 16.5
66 6 63 0.363 0.856 0.454 41.7 20.0
66 7 63 0.353 0.810 0.452 34.5 23.4
66 8 64 0.342 0.714 0.464 28.7 27.1
66 9 64 0.360 0.646 0.486 26.5 28.8
66 10 64 0.381 0.543 0.518 26.0 31.2
66 11 64 0.370 0.357 0.506 28.9 33.6
66 12 64 0.347 0.269 0.483 30.9 35.3
66 13 64 0.328 0.223 0.467 31.7 36.3
66 14 64 0.291 0.173 0.419 34.7 38.4
66 15 64 0.261 0.133 0.384 36.7 40.6
66 16 64 0.222 0.115 0.323 37.7 43.1
67 1 254 0.314 0.736 0.417 73.2 3.4
67 2 251 0.396 0.985 0.436 67.2 6.0
67 3 253 0.419 1.085 0.427 61.0 7.8
67 4 257 0.339 0.880 0.441 61.7 9.8
67 5 255 0.450 1.117 0.374 61.4 10.8
67 6 255 0.367 0.961 0.364 64.9 12.4
67 7 258 0.377 0.946 0.362 68.3 12.8
67 8 256 0.386 0.902 0.359 70.4 12.7
67 9 256 0.334 0.837 0.315 72.9 13.3
67 10 254 0.343 0.845 0.324 76.1 14.3
67 11 253 0.344 0.823 0.325 78.2 14.4
67 12 255 0.372 0.731 0.363 82.1 14.6
67 13 256 0.396 0.653 0.398 87.0 14.9
67 14 257 0.392 0.567 0.411 88.8 16.5
67 15 252 0.398 0.533 0.454 89.9 18.7
67 16 251 0.398 0.513 0.463 88.2 17.9
68 1 39 0.413 0.592 0.770 82.9 2.5
68 2 34 0.332 0.588 0.541 91.6 4.8
68 3 39 0.415 0.588 0.557 89.9 5.3
68 4 36 0.301 0.648 0.334 90.6 6.6
68 5 27 0.131 0.496 0.094 89.6 7.8
68 6 28 0.209 0.522 0.130 93.1 8.6
68 7 29 0.339 0.532 0.216 100.4 6.1
68 8 31 0.490 0.474 0.345 106.3 6.3
68 9 32 0.520 0.354 0.373 104.6 8.4
68 10 33 0.487 0.357 0.346 103.2 9.4
68 11 34 0.435 0.323 0.317 99.0 9.3
68 12 35 0.410 0.238 0.314 94.0 9.9
68 13 36 0.414 0.198 0.309 93.9 11.2
68 14 37 0.408 0.161 0.295 96.5 13.6
68 15 38 0.422 0.186 0.301 99.2 13.7
68 16 39 0.412 0.181 0.280 98.9 13.5
69 1 45 0.517 0.543 0.533 75.5 3.1
69 2 35 0.410 0.638 0.397 68.9 7.2
69 3 38 0.205 0.651 0.180 62.5 10.3
69 4 47 0.047 0.422 0.037 71.7 13.9
69 5 36 -0.185 0.551 -0.113 44.1 15.7
69 6 36 -0.265 0.422 -0.158 50.8 16.8
69 7 37 -0.129 0.401 -0.082 55.9 15.8
69 8 40 -0.155 0.352 -0.090 55.1 18.6
69 9 41 -0.101 0.314 -0.052 52.8 20.8
69 10 40 -0.025 0.246 -0.012 54.2 22.1
69 11 40 0.076 0.264 0.033 52.4 24.4
69 12 42 0.213 0.344 0.087 57.8 26.2
69 13 43 0.078 0.277 0.029 55.4 28.2
69 14 43 0.223 0.269 0.076 60.1 28.4
69 15 44 0.259 0.252 0.083 55.8 29.1
69 16 45 0.329 0.303 0.097 58.5 30.8
70 1 54 0.251 0.452 0.432 75.3 5.0
70 2 45 0.316 0.640 0.637 70.3 8.5
70 3 50 0.353 0.677 0.726 72.4 11.1
70 4 55 0.364 0.687 0.743 75.7 13.8
70 5 46 0.334 0.768 0.718 65.5 16.8
70 6 50 0.327 0.750 0.637 69.9 19.6
70 7 53 0.262 0.709 0.540 70.8 22.0
70 8 50 0.162 0.710 0.383 71.7 27.0
70 9 51 0.144 0.627 0.353 70.5 28.6
70 10 53 0.163 0.489 0.391 74.5 30.3
70 11 56 0.220 0.383 0.510 76.1 31.7
70 12 57 0.207 0.323 0.489 73.8 34.5
70 13 59 0.224 0.300 0.539 75.6 35.7
70 14 59 0.233 0.279 0.576 78.2 36.7
70 15 57 0.251 0.255 0.637 79.3 37.5
70 16 52 0.332 0.242 0.845 84.4 38.5
73 1 8 -0.704 0.679 -1.951 14.4 24.2
73 2 8 -0.082 0.990 -0.194 18.2 41.2
73 3 9 0.087 0.792 0.154 15.8 60.0
73 4 10 0.362 0.615 0.803 18.2 82.5
73 5 11 0.306 0.650 0.613 21.1 105.3
73 6 11 0.445 0.395 0.882 26.3 115.3
73 7 11 0.550 0.743 1.190 25.3 116.2
73 8 11 0.711 0.685 1.672 27.0 120.6
73 9 11 0.738 0.917 1.848 23.4 143.7
73 10 11 0.745 0.632 1.682 23.5 170.9
73 11 10 0.830 0.785 1.804 20.0 199.1
73 12 7 0.909 1.078 2.465 16.0 212.8
73 13 5 0.932 1.243 2.640 11.8 225.8
82 1 200 0.240 0.837 0.302 45.0 3.8
82 2 199 0.237 1.056 0.286 47.2 7.9
82 3 198 0.275 1.064 0.311 48.6 10.5
82 4 196 0.320 1.006 0.324 54.4 12.5
82 5 194 0.351 0.890 0.343 60.1 13.9
82 6 193 0.398 0.811 0.388 66.4 14.8
82 7 192 0.450 0.752 0.430 73.8 17.1
82 8 188 0.495 0.707 0.450 76.5 18.3
82 9 190 0.515 0.651 0.475 81.9 20.1
82 10 190 0.525 0.619 0.492 82.3 20.6
82 11 189 0.501 0.598 0.459 83.8 22.1
82 12 186 0.390 0.459 0.347 83.9 24.1
82 13 184 0.282 0.309 0.245 81.9 24.5
82 14 182 0.219 0.214 0.184 80.8 26.1
82 15 180 0.202 0.135 0.163 78.9 26.7
82 16 179 0.204 0.111 0.155 77.3 28.3
83 1 91 0.316 0.652 0.642 84.5 5.1
83 2 90 0.335 0.760 0.649 82.8 9.3
83 3 90 0.345 0.852 0.650 82.4 14.4
83 4 92 0.373 0.926 0.639 83.1 18.5
83 5 91 0.425 0.978 0.644 85.2 21.8
83 6 92 0.358 0.976 0.481 86.1 24.2
83 7 94 0.367 1.008 0.432 78.6 24.6
83 8 94 0.387 0.943 0.410 78.6 27.3
83 9 94 0.409 0.859 0.404 77.2 31.5
83 10 94 0.419 0.785 0.407 77.1 34.5
83 11 95 0.443 0.688 0.442 77.1 35.2
83 12 95 0.464 0.599 0.486 76.0 37.7
83 13 95 0.428 0.536 0.477 74.5 40.8
83 14 95 0.411 0.478 0.498 75.2 40.6
83 15 95 0.391 0.471 0.485 75.4 40.6
83 16 95 0.345 0.471 0.426 74.1 41.4
84 1 97 0.071 0.491 0.111 85.6 4.7
84 2 99 0.032 0.630 0.043 73.9 8.3
84 3 100 -0.044 0.646 -0.055 71.4 11.8
84 4 100 -0.092 0.654 -0.105 75.0 14.8
84 5 102 -0.092 0.595 -0.103 81.0 15.7
84 6 103 -0.108 0.525 -0.118 80.7 16.5
84 7 103 -0.089 0.476 -0.097 84.3 16.3
84 8 102 -0.100 0.363 -0.112 87.6 16.8
84 9 101 -0.093 0.262 -0.104 88.3 16.5
84 10 101 -0.098 0.205 -0.107 90.8 16.8
84 11 101 -0.063 0.201 -0.068 91.9 16.6
84 12 100 -0.022 0.219 -0.023 93.1 19.9
84 13 100 0.025 0.235 0.027 94.7 21.1
84 14 100 0.050 0.238 0.055 96.3 21.2
84 15 101 0.063 0.247 0.070 97.6 21.6
84 16 100 0.020 0.247 0.022 100.5 22.8
85 1 66 0.475 0.562 0.606 68.9 2.9
85 2 68 0.638 0.765 1.006 66.9 4.7
85 3 72 0.669 0.789 1.064 62.5 6.8
85 4 75 0.696 0.772 1.136 59.8 8.8
85 5 75 0.602 0.692 0.915 52.4 11.0
85 6 77 0.582 0.633 0.857 56.6 12.2
85 7 77 0.548 0.533 0.814 60.0 13.4
85 8 79 0.500 0.426 0.736 61.2 15.4
85 9 81 0.468 0.381 0.673 59.3 16.4
85 10 81 0.411 0.355 0.577 61.5 17.5
85 11 80 0.409 0.383 0.564 64.8 17.9
85 12 79 0.332 0.388 0.464 66.2 19.2
85 13 74 0.208 0.378 0.289 70.5 20.7
85 14 72 0.185 0.351 0.240 75.7 21.3
85 15 73 0.200 0.323 0.252 75.1 22.2
85 16 75 0.165 0.285 0.204 74.4 24.4
86 1 9 0.679 0.969 1.307 43.3 3.4
86 2 10 0.781 1.224 1.010 40.4 5.8
86 3 10 0.781 1.084 0.863 36.7 9.5
86 4 10 0.786 0.859 0.745 41.1 12.7
86 5 9 0.871 0.865 0.745 30.8 15.4
86 6 8 0.814 0.761 0.661 31.9 19.0
86 7 7 0.249 1.093 0.084 31.4 23.8
86 8 6 0.112 0.952 0.033 22.8 27.8
86 9 6 -0.714 1.237 -0.452 27.5 29.5
86 10 6 -0.692 0.811 -0.486 26.9 31.4
86 11 6 -0.551 0.762 -0.386 20.5 34.1
86 12 6 -0.457 0.849 -0.317 24.9 34.7
86 13 6 -0.466 0.897 -0.260 32.9 35.8
86 14 6 -0.547 0.993 -0.256 29.7 39.8
86 15 5 -0.348 1.128 -0.104 33.1 43.1
86 16 4 -0.524 1.002 -0.157 38.6 49.2
87 1 9 0.369 0.937 0.824 64.0 4.9
87 2 9 0.100 0.791 0.243 54.8 10.2
87 3 9 0.367 0.891 0.852 59.1 12.3
87 4 9 0.388 0.624 0.775 48.9 16.7
87 5 9 0.494 0.614 1.043 39.3 22.7
87 6 9 0.540 0.581 1.014 37.7 28.1
87 7 9 0.561 0.664 1.224 38.3 32.8
87 8 9 0.435 0.782 0.768 40.7 36.2
87 9 9 -0.393 0.827 -0.494 41.6 43.0
87 10 9 -0.833 0.874 -1.377 40.2 57.1
87 11 9 -0.701 1.060 -1.425 41.0 68.7
87 12 9 -0.464 0.984 -0.982 43.4 78.0
87 13 9 -0.430 0.842 -0.722 44.5 90.3
87 14 9 -0.459 1.125 -0.650 46.7 102.0
87 15 9 -0.396 1.107 -0.453 49.9 114.0
87 16 9 -0.002 1.004 -0.001 52.0 128.8
89 1 11 0.507 0.839 0.922 10.6 36.7
89 2 11 0.579 1.173 1.868 11.9 67.5
89 3 12 0.921 1.619 1.890 28.0 83.9
89 4 12 0.723 1.251 1.241 21.9 94.9
89 5 11 0.655 1.091 0.758 25.9 92.5
89 6 11 0.509 1.039 0.435 14.2 102.6
89 7 11 0.278 1.332 0.206 8.1 108.6
89 8 11 -0.090 1.855 -0.051 7.6 122.3
89 9 11 -0.045 1.383 -0.017 6.4 138.0
89 10 12 -0.116 0.933 -0.033 6.0 156.8
89 11 12 -0.507 0.994 -0.181 6.2 179.6
89 12 12 -0.528 1.083 -0.191 5.8 198.1
89 13 12 -0.244 1.017 -0.122 5.1 208.1
89 14 12 0.119 1.239 0.077 4.2 221.3
89 15 10 0.398 1.563 0.302 3.9 246.4
89 16 10 0.607 1.669 0.491 4.0 280.1
99 1 12 0.272 0.932 0.776 95.5 3.6
99 2 12 0.220 1.088 0.568 94.6 7.6
99 3 12 0.291 1.091 0.868 90.0 12.7
99 4 12 0.391 0.945 1.365 83.6 19.4
99 5 12 0.346 1.073 1.058 74.8 24.3
99 6 12 0.066 1.177 0.196 71.5 31.4
99 7 12 -0.210 1.174 -0.569 70.8 35.7
99 8 12 -0.255 1.028 -0.753 73.7 39.3
99 9 12 -0.245 1.016 -0.781 73.6 49.4
99 10 12 -0.079 1.036 -0.244 73.9 57.4
99 11 12 -0.078 1.057 -0.236 78.6 64.0
99 12 12 -0.077 0.944 -0.219 83.4 73.4
99 13 12 -0.037 0.819 -0.100 87.2 82.2
99 14 12 -0.108 0.806 -0.291 88.1 86.9
99 15 12 -0.124 0.904 -0.343 90.6 94.1
99 16 12 -0.131 1.078 -0.375 94.9 95.8
100 1 41 0.389 0.876 0.749 64.5 4.3
100 2 38 0.479 0.957 0.930 61.6 8.5
100 3 39 0.491 0.876 1.064 47.0 12.1
100 4 39 0.523 0.828 1.259 49.5 15.1
100 5 39 0.581 0.789 1.347 46.2 17.3
100 6 38 0.745 0.899 1.859 43.1 19.8
100 7 36 0.805 0.892 1.945 53.7 22.2
100 8 35 0.779 0.812 1.709 63.6 25.2
100 9 36 0.794 0.805 1.895 59.4 27.6
100 10 36 0.776 0.760 1.895 63.0 29.9
100 11 35 0.753 0.785 1.918 58.4 33.8
100 12 35 0.737 0.848 1.939 59.6 36.4
100 13 35 0.738 0.862 1.959 50.4 38.1
100 14 36 0.715 0.861 2.016 46.5 40.9
100 15 37 0.576 0.694 1.479 47.7 37.6
100 16 36 0.627 0.699 1.554 48.3 38.1
101 1 7 -0.528 0.852 -0.702 63.4 4.5
101 2 7 -0.699 1.129 -0.771 62.5 9.5
101 3 7 -0.773 1.094 -0.938 62.2 15.1
101 4 7 -0.812 0.991 -1.125 66.2 21.9
101 5 7 -0.826 1.041 -1.466 60.9 28.5
101 6 7 -0.817 1.261 -1.817 67.3 29.4
101 7 7 -0.856 1.441 -2.181 77.0 28.8
101 8 7 -0.633 1.708 -1.755 78.7 31.5
101 9 7 -0.247 1.093 -0.459 84.0 32.5
101 10 7 0.004 1.379 0.004 88.3 34.3
101 11 7 0.091 1.427 0.033 88.9 33.2
101 12 7 -0.271 1.121 -0.047 87.4 35.2
101 13 7 -0.307 0.920 -0.037 82.2 31.7
101 14 7 -0.056 0.960 -0.006 74.6 33.5
101 15 7 0.057 0.931 0.009 69.0 35.7
101 16 7 0.038 0.968 0.008 66.5 37.0
102 1 83 0.383 0.328 0.466 101.7 4.0
102 2 87 0.362 0.483 0.423 99.0 6.4
102 3 85 0.338 0.573 0.394 103.0 9.3
102 4 87 0.330 0.697 0.426 108.0 11.6
102 5 87 0.363 0.734 0.490 110.1 13.7
102 6 85 0.407 0.778 0.561 120.2 14.3
102 7 87 0.392 0.775 0.522 125.4 17.2
102 8 86 0.374 0.742 0.446 130.8 19.0
102 9 84 0.324 0.712 0.388 127.0 19.4
102 10 84 0.328 0.624 0.392 124.2 19.0
102 11 84 0.294 0.493 0.341 123.7 19.9
102 12 84 0.202 0.389 0.229 119.8 22.1
102 13 84 0.161 0.262 0.187 119.0 23.5
102 14 84 0.153 0.231 0.182 121.1 25.3
102 15 84 0.105 0.238 0.114 125.3 28.8
102 16 84 0.107 0.279 0.111 131.3 32.9
103 1 104 0.331 -nan 0.692 80.0 4.9
103 2 104 0.532 -nan 1.054 81.9 8.6
103 3 103 0.642 -nan 1.237 79.7 11.8
103 4 102 0.724 -nan 1.428 78.0 14.5
103 5 101 0.755 -nan 1.496 75.8 18.2
103 6 100 0.763 -nan 1.517 71.8 21.8
103 7 99 0.753 -nan 1.471 69.6 23.8
103 8 98 0.759 -nan 1.498 66.8 25.7
103 9 98 0.726 -nan 1.492 63.0 28.1
103 10 99 0.653 -nan 1.404 58.2 33.8
103 11 100 0.558 -nan 1.228 53.8 39.7
103 12 101 0.462 -nan 1.008 51.7 44.6
103 13 102 0.379 -nan 0.825 49.5 50.0
103 14 103 0.325 -nan 0.690 48.1 54.5
103 15 104 0.269 -nan 0.555 46.9 60.1
103 16 105 0.241 -nan 0.486 45.8 65.0
105 1 15 -0.021 0.392 -0.121 97.9 5.7
105 2 11 -0.012 0.494 -0.069 88.7 6.8
105 3 11 -0.221 0.391 -0.828 100.2 10.8
105 4 11 -0.249 0.413 -0.637 91.3 9.4
105 5 7 -0.694 0.140 -0.982 105.2 6.0
105 6 7 -0.513 0.508 -0.637 87.9 6.4
105 7 8 0.258 0.596 0.995 87.3 10.1
105 8 8 -0.394 0.285 -1.100 83.2 11.9
105 9 8 -0.463 0.293 -1.030 69.7 14.4
105 10 8 -0.358 0.378 -0.600 69.2 12.3
105 11 8 -0.300 0.474 -0.437 81.9 12.3
105 12 7 -0.303 0.583 -0.336 86.0 13.6
105 13 6 -0.286 0.924 -0.258 60.0 17.5
105 14 6 -0.318 1.062 -0.259 70.1 20.1
105 15 6 -0.312 1.233 -0.257 85.1 24.7
105 16 6 -0.259 0.832 -0.220 96.4 24.1
120 1 73 -0.321 0.373 -1.209 97.4 2.7
120 2 73 0.327 0.406 1.060 97.1 10.0
120 3 73 0.592 0.641 1.420 105.5 16.3
120 4 74 0.668 0.757 1.402 96.1 19.3
120 5 74 0.734 0.833 1.384 96.7 21.8
120 6 73 0.774 0.940 1.360 97.9 25.0
120 7 72 0.836 0.944 1.383 81.6 27.0
120 8 72 0.760 0.788 1.276 74.8 31.4
120 9 73 0.551 0.587 0.896 68.5 36.3
120 10 74 0.540 0.674 0.808 63.3 41.1
120 11 74 0.450 0.679 0.652 63.7 44.4
120 12 74 0.087 0.213 0.130 68.2 48.7
120 13 74 -0.106 0.107 -0.147 70.0 52.0
120 14 74 -0.174 0.113 -0.241 69.8 51.3
120 15 74 -0.211 0.485 -0.256 68.4 54.9
120 16 74 -0.211 0.553 -0.203 68.0 60.0
137 1 6 0.623 0.725 0.431 77.4 1.6
137 2 5 0.621 0.963 0.407 58.6 3.8
137 3 4 0.759 1.291 0.476 51.6 3.6
137 5 7 0.726 0.996 0.512 26.0 8.6
137 6 6 0.747 1.048 0.643 52.2 11.3
137 7 7 0.459 1.247 0.330 60.6 12.8
137 8 7 0.008 1.324 0.009 59.4 13.8
137 9 5 -0.332 1.250 -0.059 47.3 17.8
137 10 4 0.666 1.895 1.036 57.4 20.9
137 12 4 -0.626 1.682 -0.797 53.9 13.9
137 13 6 -0.706 1.054 -1.079 62.2 18.2
137 14 6 -0.631 0.926 -0.968 59.2 21.2
137 15 5 -0.635 1.828 -0.846 56.3 22.3
137 16 4 -0.769 1.781 -1.032 45.0 45.4


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Robert Grumbine

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Environmental Modeling Center
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