MMAB Sea Ice Forecast Page

This page contains links to sea ice model forecasts. The publicly available model guidance is for the drift of points in the ice pack. An experiment with longer range ice guidance, begun in June 1998 at the request of NWS Alaska Region resulted in the approval in January 2001 of extending the operational guidance to day 16, from the then-limit of 6 days.

Model graphics now at http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller, a system with 24x7 support. The numeric quantity given is tenths of nautical miles, such that a value of 22 means 2.2 nautical miles drift.

e-mail additions, corrections, errors to Robert.Grumbine@noaa.gov

Last modified 2 July 2012. Model output updated daily!

NWS Anchorage WSFO Ice Forecast page
NCEP Operational Ice Drift Forecast Model - About

Guidance maps for Alaska Region

Guidance maps for Alaska Region (~ 30 K each) Experimental KML output

Most Recent Drift Model Output (~225 K) -- directory sice.YYYYMMDD file global.YYYYMMDD
Most Recent Alaska Region Drift Model Output (~60 K) -- directory sice.YYYYMMDD file alaska.YYYYMMDD
Model digital output archive 4/1993 to present

Publications and statistics on this model:

Model verification statistics
Grumbine, R. W., Virtual Floe Ice Drift Forecast Model Intercomparison, Weather and Forecasting, 13, 886-890, 1998.
MMAB Note: Virtual Floe Ice Drift Forecast Model Intercomparison 1996

Return to NCEP Sea Ice Home Page
Return to NCEP Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch Home Page